Acta Mechanica Slovaca 2012, 16(1):74-82 | DOI: 10.21496/ams.2012.009

Risk Assessment Tools for Nonlinear Dynamic Systems

Milan Oravec*, Barbora Kováčová
Technical university of Košice, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Institute of Safety, Quality and Environmental Science , Department of Safety and Production Quality, Letná 9, 042 00 Košice

Tools for quantitative risk assessment used in praxis are predominantly based on linear transformations. A parallel problem of current risk assessment methods is constant time and imperceptions of variability of threat over the course of time. Bertalanffy, Wiener, Haken, and Prigogine emphasized interdisciplinary approach and its potential utilization in risk assessment. Two specific cases of causal dependence are domino effect and synergic effect. Risk as an attribute of causal dependence is common for all present management systems. The paper deals with details of synergic effect mechanism, its identification and possible utilization in the field of safety.

Keywords: Causal dependence, risk assessment, safety, synergic effect, deterministic chaos

Received: January 4, 2012; Accepted: March 15, 2012; Published: March 31, 2012  Show citation

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Oravec, M., & Kováčová, B. (2012). Risk Assessment Tools for Nonlinear Dynamic Systems. Acta Mechanica Slovaca, 16(1), 74-82. doi: 10.21496/ams.2012.009
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